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West Asia - in the Throes of a Disruptive 2023 and not so Different 2024
Amb Anil Trigunayat, Distinguished Fellow, VIF Article

Even as the 2023 turned out to be literally the hottest year in history, West Asia continued to face the equally destabilizing heat in the old and new hotspots. The ongoing wars and conflicts do not portend well for 2024. Hence, more disruptions cou....

January 02, 2024 International Relations and Diplomacy , West Asia , Article , Israel , Palestine , Gaza , Hamas , Economic costs , IDF , Perceptions
Perceptions and Prospects: Israel-Hamas Conflict
Col Pradeep Jaidka (Retd.) Article

“History never repeats itself, but it does often rhyme.” - Mark Twain Biblical descriptions record the divergent fates of Issac, the patriarch of Israelis and Ishmael, the prophet of Islam, both sons of Abraham. The confluence of places....

January 01, 2024 International Relations and Diplomacy , Article , Israel , Palestine , Gaza , Hamas , Economic costs , IDF , Perceptions
West Asia Roundup: November 2023

Abstract
The Israel-Hamas war, started with October 7 terror attacks, continued to witness the excessive and indiscriminate Israeli bombings over Gaza and the ground offensive leading to over 17000 casualties including nearly 600 childr....

December 19, 2023 Israel , Saudi Arabia , Houthis , Hezbollah , Hamas , West Asia Round Up , Operation Al Aqsa Flood , Operation Swords of Iron
Global Developments and Analysis: Weekly Monitor (11-17 December 2023)

Economic

Israel-Gaza war: Houthi attacks push shipping giants to pause Red Sea voyages
Spiralling attacks on merchant ships by Houthi militants off the coast of Yemen have prompted widespread trade disruption with some of the ....

December 19, 2023 Israel , Myanmar , Ukraine , Gaza , Covid-19 International Daily Scan , US-China relations , Central Economic Work Conference , cop 28 , Red Sea Shipping Attacks , Panama Canal Drought , Putin Conference
Global Developments and Analysis: Weekly Monitor (27 November- 03 December 2023)

Economic

Saudi Arabia Offers Iran Investment to Blunt Gaza War
Saudi Arabia has approached Iran with an offer to boost cooperation and invest in its sanctions-stricken economy if the Islamic Republic stops its regional proxies....

December 13, 2023 Israel , Iran , Saudi Arabia , Covid-19 International Daily Scan , OPEC+ , COP28 , Kissinger , Red Sea Attacks , Ammonia , Bhutan Bitcoin Mining , Gaza Ceasefire
Cyclical Errors in Intelligence Assessment: A Comparative Analysis
Col Pradeep Jaidka (Retd.) Article

A study of history would reveal that nations and their leaders become victims of surprise as they either chose to remain ignorant of events or unwilling to accept new (or good) inputs in a timely manner. Some significant historical examples are liste....

November 29, 2023 National Security and Strategic Studies , Article , Israel , Hamas , HUMINT , Intelligence assessment , Mossad , SIGINT , 1973 Yom Kippur war
Hidden Contours of Israel Hamas Conflict
Col Pradeep Jaidka (Retd.) Article

Hamas executed a well-planned multifaceted military operation, breaching the Gaza fence after neutralizing Israel’s sensors, automatic machine gun towers and communications nodes to execute civilians; take hostages and desecrate bodies of the dead.....

November 09, 2023 International Relations and Diplomacy , Article , Israel , Social Media , Gaza , Hamas , Perception Warfare , Siege , tunnels , Urban Warfare
Cyber Review - October 2023

National

The Cabinet approved the MoU between Bharat and Papua New Guinea on Digital Transformation
On 11 October 2023, the Union Cabinet approved Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed on 28 July this year between Bharat’....

November 07, 2023 Israel , US , Australia , Japan , Gaza , UK , Amazon , Ransomware , Germany , TikTok , Microsoft , Bharat , VIF Cyber Review , Snapchat , DPI , GPAI , Scam , Financial Fraud.
Does Intelligence Always Fail-Invariably?
Col Pradeep Jaidka (Retd.) Article

Since their inception, humans have been interested in knowing about the adversary. Examples abound in history. The blind king’s desire to know events in Kurukshetra; Moses tasking his 12 spies before sending them to Canaan; Trojan Horse; the first ....

October 27, 2023 National Security and Strategic Studies , International Relations and Diplomacy , Article , Israel , Gaza , Hamas , Intelligence failure
Hamas Attack on Israel: A Tough Road Ahead
Sunil Yadav Article

The surprise and audacious attack by Hamas on Israel from the Gaza Strip on 07 Oct 23 has drawn parallels with the 9/11 terror attacks on United States in terms of surprise, shock action and casualties. Several media & state reports have even compare....

October 26, 2023 International Relations and Diplomacy , Article , Israel , Palestine , India , US , Iran , Gaza , UN , Humanitarian Crisis , Hamas
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