Monthly Compilation of Views of VIF Expert Groups: May 2024
Anurag Bisen, Senior Fellow, VIF

During the month, the VIF Pakistan Experts Group discussed critical issues shaping Pakistan's current landscape. The session focussed on Pakistan's political outlook, noting the dominant role of the military following the marginalisation of former Prime Minister Imran Khan. The current Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, faces challenges, reflecting the military's enduring influence despite opposition limitations. Economically, despite potential IMF support and Gulf investments, structural reforms remain elusive, with a shift away from Chinese engagement noted. Security concerns have escalated due to rising insurgency, particularly in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan, amid challenges from groups like the BLA and TTP. The Pakistan Army's governance role was scrutinised amidst internal divisions, though recent statements reaffirmed its political authority. Relations with India remain strained, with India emphasising cessation of terrorism and progress on trade and transit issues for meaningful engagement. Future engagement hinges on Pakistan's actions, with strategic restraint from India as the current policy option.

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